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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· Russian experts suggested that Ankara is preparing an Artsakh scenario for Cyprus πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ύ

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· Russian experts suggested that Ankara is preparing an Artsakh scenario for Cyprus πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ύ

The Hellenic-Turkish war in the Mediterranean over Cyprus is seen by the Russian defense institute.

Threatening predictions were made by authoritative Russian geopolitical and defense institutions especially for the Mediterranean, warning of an impending Turkish plan to provoke a war with our country. The reason for this is Cyprus, and the "main menu" is Cyprus's huge energy reserves.

For this reason, Russian experts talk about "war scenarios", stressing that Hellas and Turkey will be involved in a possible war in 2021 over the economy.

β€œ2020 was a difficult year in all respects, but 2021 has every chance of becoming even more difficult. In addition to the real risk of escalation of the conflict in the Middle East between the United States, Iran and Israel, a fierce military conflict between Turkey and Greece in the Eastern Mediterranean is now possible, ”said the Russian Defense Institute.

In this scenario, the institute will employ both "invisible" American F-35 fighters and Russian S-400 air defense systems.

β€œGreece and Turkey are historical rivals. The United States tried to reconcile them within the NATO alliance, but to no avail. Today the situation has deteriorated much more dangerous due to the fact that both countries are in a state of serious economic crisis and need a serious impetus for recovery and development.

For this reason, the huge gas fields discovered in the Eastern Mediterranean off the coast of Cyprus have become a target for Ankara. Whoever controls their development and exports to EU countries will earn tens of billions of dollars.

Inspired by the great successes in Nagorno-Karabakh, the new "sultan" Erdogan may again try to resolve the issue by force. However, everything is much more complicated than he would like, ”the Moscow institute emphasizes.

The Russians believe that although Cyprus does not belong to the territory of Hellas and is a sovereign state inhabited by Greeks and Turks, Athens and Ankara support both sides militarily.

According to earlier reports, Ankara refers to the Treaty of Cyprus of June 4, 1878, which designated the island as part of the Ottoman Empire.

In 1969, Great Britain partially recognized Turkey's rights to the island, and in 1974, Ankara began a military occupation of the island, as a result of which the northern territories of Cyprus were occupied and the unrecognized so-called "Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus" was created.


The point, however, is that the occupied territories of the Republic of Cyprus are recognized as an "independent state" only by Turkey. For the entire world community, these territories remain part of the Republic of Cyprus, occupied by Turkey.

The problem of coexistence of Greek Cypriots and Turkish Cypriots in Cyprus is artificially exacerbated by Ankara, especially after the discovery of gas fields, since the island is a key point for the construction of the EastMed gas pipeline, which will transport gas from the Eastern Mediterranean to Europe.

β€œAnkara wants to get a bigger share in all this abundance, but the Greeks see the problem differently. There are reasons to believe that Turkey may try to apply the Karabakh experience to solve the problem by using force in Cyprus.

President Erdogan has a strong fleet at his disposal, and the Turkish army is considered the second largest in NATO after the United States.

β€œThe Turks have in their arsenal offensive UAVs, which they are known to have used in Nagorno-Karabakh, they have Russian S-400 missiles, and now they have combat experience,” the Russian said.

Russian scenario of the Hellenic-Turkish war in Cyprus:

"In theory, the scenario could be as follows:

With regard to the Turkish part of Cyprus, some alleged calls from Greece will be announced out of the blue (possible provocations by the Turks who will act as Greek Cypriots) .

... This will push Ankara to impose a naval blockade on the island and send a military corps there, the Russians say.

These units also participated in the "Cyprus peacekeeping operation" (as the neo-Ottomans call Attila's bloody invasion of Cyprus and the occupation of 36% of the island's territory) and are ready to act wherever required).

But this would immediately force Athens to intervene to protect the Greek population of Cyprus, sending most of the Greek fleet to Megalonisos (Cyprus).

At the same time, some hostilities will begin on the land border with Turkey (Evros region).